Weather Blog - Planet 106-7

Ed McIntosh Weather Blog

  • Click for 7 Day Forecast Summer is slipping away as autumn arrives. And the cooler temperatures are bringing rain and snow with them.

    Regional highs will be mainly in the 50s and 60s Thursday, trending a little warmer East of Billings. As a trough of low pressure digs in, the chance of rain will increase from West to East throughout the afternoon and evening hours.

    By Thursday night, the chance of rain is excellent across the area with mountain snow especially above 7000 feet.

    Despite the warm ground and wet snow, accumulations in the Beartooths/Absarokas could be a foot or more, with up to a foot across the Big Horn Mountains. Red Lodge could have an inch or two of wet snow on the ground early Saturday.

    For the lower elevations, much of the region will receive 1 to 2 inches in total accumulation through Saturday.

    Temperatures will become very cool, with readings and they 30s and 40s early Friday and only a few degrees warmer with highs in the 40s to low 50s Friday afternoon.

    Billings forecast:

    Thursday… Showers increasing in the afternoon. A high of about 58. North breeze 5 to 15 mph.

    Thursday night… Showers. A low near 43.

    Friday… Rain. Around 45 for the high.

  • Click for 7 Day Forecast Much cooler and wetter weather will begin Thursday through Saturday. Snow is expected above 7000 feet.

    The hot and dry weather we been experiencing the last few days was getting pushed away from the region overnight. Around 5 to 10° cooler Wednesday compared to Tuesday afternoon.

    Expect a mix of clouds and sun with temperatures mainly in the 80s Wednesday. Showers will become more widespread Wednesday night heading into Thursday.

    Showers will be widespread Thursday with highs mainly in the 50s to low 60s.

    Highs will drop to the 40s to low 50s by Friday with rain in the lower elevations and snow for the mountains.

    Billings forecast:

    Wednesday… A mix of clouds and sun, with a high near 83. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.

    Wednesday night… Increasing clouds with the chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms increasing during the evening and overnight. By early Thursday, the temperatures around 53.

    Thursday… Mostly cloudy to cloudy. Showers likely, especially after 1 PM. About 60 for the high temperature.

  • Click for 7 Day ForecastTuesday may be the last gasp of real summer weather for 2017. Rain, and a significant cool down move in later in the week.

    There is a good chance we could reach the September 12 record high temperature at Billings Logan Field is 93° set in 2005. A haze of wildfire smoke could hold us back by a degree or two. Expect plenty of sun and a light South breeze.

    Generally partly cloudy overnight, with temperatures in the upper 50s to mid 60s early Wednesday.

    Wednesday will run about 10° cooler than Tuesday, with the highs in the mid to lower 80s. Clouds will increase, with a chance of rain showers by Wednesday evening.

    Rain showers are likely on Thursday and Friday, with high temperatures as cool as the 40s and low 50s Friday afternoon. Snow is possible in the mountains and may close Beartooth Pass.

    The sun will return, and temperatures will begin to warm, especially by Sunday and Monday.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… Sunny and hot, and close to the record high temperature of 93. Light South breeze.

    Tuesday night… Partly cloudy and a low near 62.

    Wednesday… Increasing clouds and around 83 for the high. A chance of rain showers or isolated thunderstorms by evening.

  • Click for 7 Day Forecast A sunny, dry and warming weather pattern remains in place through this weekend.

    Temperatures will climb into the mid to lower 80s Wednesday afternoon, with lots of sunshine and a light southerly wind. The humidity remains very low.

    With low humidity, the dry air cools quickly after sunset. Readings will be into the upper 40s to low 50s early Thursday.

    Temperatures will edge upward each afternoon through Friday and Saturday, when highs could hit the low 90s. By Friday, a bit of moisture will start to stream into the region creating isolated high elevation showers or storms.

    A series of disturbances will flatten the high-pressure ridge by Sunday and Monday. Temperatures will level off into the 80s through early next week for the highs, and lows mainly in the 50s to around 60.

    As the ridge breaks down, a more westerly wind flow aloft could drag more smoke back into the region once again.

    For the lower elevations, things remain extremely dry.

    Billings forecast:

    Wednesday… Sunny, with a high of about 84. Southerly wind 5 to 15 mph.

    Wednesday night… Mostly clear, with a low in the neighborhood of 53.

    Thursday… Sunny, and near 87 for the afternoon high.

  • Click for 7 Day Forecast Overall, Tuesday is pretty pleasant. But we are far from done with very warm temperatures and very dry conditions.

    Cool temperatures and lighter winds can be expected today, with sunshine and afternoon high temperatures mainly in the 70s. However, the air remains very dry with the relative humidity values dropping to the teens and 20s Tuesday afternoon.

    The dry air cools quickly Tuesday evening, with most readings in the 40s early Wednesday. A warming trend begins Wednesday afternoon with highs returning to the mid-to-lower 80s.

    By Thursday, highs will reach the mid-to-upper 80s, with some low 90s within reach by Friday and Saturday afternoons.

    Other than a late week shower or thunderstorm in the mountains, conditions remain very dry and hazardous for wildfires.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday...Sunny with a high of about 77. Light and variable breeze.

    Tuesday Night…Clear with a light east breeze. Near 48 for the low.

    Wednesday…Sunny and warmer. Around 84 for the warmest temperature.

  • Click for 7 Day ForecastDespite cooler temperatures, critical fire conditions continue. The good news is that air-quality may improve through the day.

    As a Canadian cold front moves through the area, northerly winds will increase this morning and could be gusty at times through this afternoon.

    This cooler Canadian air will drop temperatures down into the 70s for highs. But the humidity remains low, and with the wind in the mix, wildfire risk remains high.

    A Red Flag Warning is in effect until 9 PM this evening for all of south-central and Southeast Montana, and Sheridan County Wyoming.

    Air-quality could improve through this afternoon, as the winds push down from the North. Some of the smoky haze in the air above us will likely remain.

    It will feel chilly Tuesday morning, with lows dropping into the upper 30s and 40s.

    Billings forecast:

    Labor Day… Sunny with areas of smoke. A high near 75. North breeze 5 to 15 mph with stronger gusts at times.

    Monday night… Mostly clear and cool, with a low around 48. Light Northeast wind.

    Tuesday… Sunny, with a high of about 77.

  • Click Here for 7 Day ForecastAn exiting cold front pushes our temperatures down slightly for Friday. By Sunday, we could be close to record high temperatures. In between, more smoke and more potential for new wildfires.

    West to Northwest winds will increase this afternoon, especially in areas East of Billings. With the wind added to our already hot and dry conditions, a Red Flag Warning for critical fire weather conditions will be in effect for Southeast Montana through this evening.

    Otherwise, expect a sunny but smoky day with high temperatures mainly in the 80s for Friday. Winds of 10 to 20 mph from the West should be widespread.

    Some smoky haze will remain tonight and tomorrow, with an otherwise clear to mostly clear overnight. Lows will be in the 50s to low 60s early Saturday.

    Temperatures begin to climb Saturday, with readings mainly in the mid to lower 90s. The sky will be filled with more sun and more smoke.

    Temperatures peak on Sunday with readings in the 90s and even a 100° reading is possible. If the Billings airport reaches 97, it will tie the 1978 record for September 3. Wildfire smoke may keep that from happening.

    Billings forecast:

    Friday… Widespread smoke decreasing a little in the afternoon. Otherwise, sunny with a high of about 88. West wind 10 to 20 mph.

    Friday night… Clear with areas of smoke. Around 59 early Saturday for the low temperature.

    Saturday… Sunny and hot with areas of smoke. Near 94 for the high temperature.

  • Click for 7 Day Forecast A disturbance moving to the area Wednesday brings a chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms. But with continued hot and dry conditions, the potential for wind and increased fire risk are the biggest hazards.

    Expect more heat Wednesday, with the highs mainly in the mid to lower 90s. At the same time, clouds and smoke will again hold back afternoon temperatures somewhat.

    A few scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms will develop during the afternoon and evening. Expect more wind than rain as the front moves through. Gusts could peak at around 40 mph.

    A Red Flag Warning for critical wildfire conditions is in effect from noon until 9 PM Wednesday for Southeast Montana and portions of Northwest South Dakota.

    Winds will increase today east of Billings, especially from around Forsyth and Colstrip in Rosebud County toward the Dakotas. Gusts of 20 to 35 mph will blow through the afternoon and evening.

    Billings forecast:

    Wednesday… Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 93. Westerly wind of 5 to 15 mph. Areas of smoke.

    Wednesday night… A 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms through the evening. Areas of smoke. Mostly cloudy, with a low of about 64.

    Thursday… Partly sunny with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Around 91 for the high temperature.

  • Click Here for 7 Day Forecast More heat. More dry conditions. More smoke.

    High temperatures and very low relative humidity will continue Tuesday. Highs will soar mainly into the 90s once again.

    Billings could be close to the August 29 daily record of 97° set in 2012. Livingston would have to make it to 95° to tie the daily record.

    As we saw on Monday, the smoky haze could hold the temperatures back several degrees keeping readings in the mid to lower 90s.

    Enough moisture will stream into the area to create a few high-based storms over area mountains. These could bring mainly strong wind gusts in the afternoon and early evening.

    Wednesday will continue hot and dry. A cold front moving through late Wednesday night into Thursday will create isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Again, gusty winds are the biggest threat from the storms.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. A light easterly breeze. Areas of smoke.

    Tuesday night… Areas of smoke. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

    Wednesday… Mostly sunny and hot once again. Back to about 95 for the high. Isolated evening storms.

  • Click for 7 Day Forecast The thermometer will be the focus of the weather the next couple of days, as we approach record high readings.

    Hot and dry conditions are expected through midweek. High temperatures Monday will be solidly into the 90s, and Billings could approach the record high of 99 set in 2012. For Tuesday, Billings would have to reach 97 to tie the record for the date.

    Wildfire smoke may hold back readings by several degrees with a haze across the area.

    The afternoon humidity for Monday and Tuesday will be into the single digits in teens with a relatively light wind. As moisture starts to stream back into the area late Tuesday into Wednesday, a few high-based storms could produce wind and lightning.

    Even though temperatures will trend a little cooler by the end of the week, they will remain 5 to 10° above seasonal averages heading into our long Labor Day weekend. Dry conditions will continue.

    Billings forecast:

    Monday… Sunny and hot for the areas of smoke. A high near 97. Southwest breeze 5 to 10 mph.

    Monday night… Mostly clear with areas of smoke. A light breeze, and a low of about 62.

    Tuesday… Mostly sunny and hot, with a high around 94. Winds remain light.